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INDEPENDENT, SCIENTIFIC RESEARCH
ON POLITICS AND SOCIETY

Get to know CPS

From the CPS Blog

What have we learned from the American National Election Studies (ANES)?

The ANES has surveyed Americans before and after every U.S. presidential election since 1948, providing us with rich insights into why and how Americans vote. In recognition of the ANES’s 75th anniversary, CPS reached out to scholars to ask what we know about American politics, voters and voting behaviors because of the ANES. Read what they told us on the CPS blog.

Is Partisan Hostility Damaging American Democracy?

A new book by some of the foremost scholars of polarization amasses empirical evidence of the consequences of political hostility in recent years, and offers a theory of when it affects political beliefs and behaviors. More from the CPS blog.

Events

This year’s CPS Wednesday seminar series has an exciting lineup of speakers.

Miller-Converse Lecture 2025

The 2025 Miller-Converse Lecture will be held on March 20, 2025 at 4 p.m. The speaker will be Tali Mendelberg.
ISR Thompson 1430

The Miller-Converse Lecture

CPS News

Remembering Samuel H. Barnes

Samuel BarnesPosted June 14, 2024. 

Samuel H. Barnes, a leading scholar on voting behavior and political party affiliation in Western democracies and past affiliate of the Center for Political Studies, died on May 21, at 93. More from MLive.

Foreign Affairs Report: America Is Losing the Arab World

Mark TesslerPosted June 11, 2024. 

The Arab Barometer public opinion survey shows Arab public opinion has turned sharply against the United States since October 7. Michael Robbins, Amaney A. Jamal, and Mark Tessler write in Foreign Affairs: “Ultimately, to win the trust of Arab citizens in the Middle East, the United States must show the same care for the suffering of the Palestinians that it does for that of the Israelis.” More in Foreign Affairs.

The Hill Opinion: Biden knows executive order on border will fail. Blame our broken system.

Posted June 11, 2024. 

Biden’s executive order on the border will fail, Kenneth Lowande says in an Opinion out in The Hill. “The purpose of the president going alone on immigration is political; whether it fixes the problem is almost beside the point.” More from the UM Department of Political Science.

CPS launches SUNGEO project to assist in merging data across different scales

Posted May 14, 2024. 

The new Subnational Geospatial Data Archive (SUNGEO) project addresses a common challenge for social researchers: misalignment that arises when data are collected at varying levels of scale. It uses a variety of tools to integrate geospatial data, allowing researchers and analysts to evaluate data relationships from a variety of sources, scales, and geographical contexts. More from ISR.

Michael Traugott Wins Roper’s 2024 Mitofsky Award for Excellence in Public Opinion Research

Michael TraugottPosted May 10, 2024. 

Michael Traugott, Professor Emeritus at the University of Michigan and a Research Professor Emeritus in the Center for Political Studies, has been recognized with the 2024 Warren J. Mitofsky Award for Excellence in Public Opinion Research. More from CPS.

 

More feelings of misinformation, more news avoidance, Ariel Hasell study shows

Ariel HasellPosted April 17, 2024. 

As people have more difficulty distinguishing fact from fiction in the United States, they are more likely to feel news fatigue and avoid news altogether, according to a new study by Ariel Hasell of the Center for Political Studies. More from Michigan News.

 

SUNGEO launches to integrate data at a variety of geographic scales

Posted April 17, 2024. 

Today marks the launch of the Subnational Geospatial Data Archive (SUNGEO) project, a set of tools that will improve research involving sub-national data in order to bolster knowledge of how societies develop, prosper, and change. Funded by a grant from the National Science Foundation, SUNGEO offers data on demography, politics, climate, violence, public health, weather, and terrain at a variety of geographic scales.   It offers innovative tools to integrate spatially-misaligned data. The tools have been designed for researchers and analysts wishing to assess values of and relationships among variables across data sources, scales, integration methods, and geographic/historical contexts. More from CPS.

 

ANES wins AAPOR's Policy Impact Award

Nicholas ValentinoPosted April 12, 2024. 

The American National Election Studies (ANES) was recognized today by the American Association for Public Opinion Research (AAPOR) with its Policy Impact Award– given annually to outstanding projects making a clear impact, improving policy decisions, practice and discourse. More from CPS.

CPS hosts ‘The 2024 Mexican Elections in Context’

Blanca HerediaPosted April 12, 2024. 

On June 2, 2024, Mexican citizens will vote in the largest election in the country’s history? What is at stake? More from the Michigan Daily.

Celebrating 75 years of the American National Election Studies

The American National Election Studies celebrates its 75th anniversary in 2024 with events at MPSA, APSA, and more.  The Center for Political Studies blog offers chronicles, comments, and reflections on the project. More from CPS.

ANES at 75
Climate change

Featured Project

Climate Change, Demographic Shifts, and Socio-Political Stability in Sub-Saharan Africa

Leveraging the skills of an exceptional interdisciplinary team of University of Michigan’s social, data, and climate scientists, this project will advance the frontiers of usable social-scientific knowledge at the intersection of climate, demography, and socio-political stability as it affects U.S. national security interests. The project will analyze how complex interactions of climate and demographic change affect sociopolitical stability in Africa, assess where and when risks are greatest, and thus respond to two central concerns of the 2022 U.S. National Defense Strategy: climate change and China (PRC). The project will generate actionable research findings on factors that prompt and locations that harbor great risks of political instability and conflict in Africa.

Learn more about the project, funded by the Minerva Research Initiative.

The PIs are Arun Agrawal and Yuri Zhukov.

Partisan Hostility and American Democracy

Featured Publication

Partisan Hostility and American Democracy

For generations, experts argued that American politics needed cohesive parties to function effectively. Now many fear that strong partisan views, particularly hostility to the opposing party, are damaging democracy. Is partisanship as dangerous as we fear it is? To provide an answer, this book offers a nuanced evaluation of when and how partisan animosity matters in today’s highly charged, dynamic political environment, drawing on panel data from some of the most tumultuous years in recent American history, 2019 through 2021. The authors– James N. Druckman, Samara Klar, Yanna Krupnikov, Matthew Levendusky, and John Barry Ryan– show that partisanship powerfully shapes political behaviors, but its effects are conditional, not constant. Instead, it is most powerful when politicians send clear signals and when an issue is unlikely to bring direct personal consequences. In the absence of these conditions, other factors often dominate decision-making. They argue that while partisan hostility has degraded US politics—for example, politicizing previously non-political issues and undermining compromise—it is not in itself an existential threat. As their research shows, the future of American democracy depends on how politicians, more than ordinary voters, behave.

Read more about the book. (University of Chicago Press: June 2024)