You can trust the polls in 2018, if you read them carefully
November 8, 2018
Josh Pasek and Michael Traugott wrote the article
Those who love Trump and those who hate him are paying the most attention to him
November 5, 2018
What voters were focused on seemed to have major consequences in 2016, when Gallup found the word “email” dominated what people said they heard about Hillary Clinton during the campaign. “Indeed, the second-, third- and fourth-most-frequently used words associated with Clinton also relate to emails: “FBI,” “investigation” and “scandal,” wrote…
Rob Mickey speaks to Vox about the possibilities of the midterm elections and “backsliding”
November 5, 2018
All that said, there are a few potentially troubling outcomes even if Democrats take one or more houses of Congress. Mickey noted that such a development runs the risk of encouraging more unilateral action from Trump, a kind of “constitutional hardball” that contributes to a concentration of power in the…
Political ads aim to steer your emotions. Here’s how they do that
November 5, 2018
The experts are: Shawn Parry-Giles, director of the Mark and Heather Rosenker Center for Political Communication and Civic Leadership at the University of Maryland; and Ted Brader, a political science professor at the University of Michigan and the author of “Campaigning for Hearts and Minds: How Emotional Appeals in Political…
Teach-out to encourage common ground in turbulent times
November 2, 2018
Those in the United States who disagree strongly on many issues at least can agree that this is an extremely divided nation.¶¶That’s a start, says Arthur Lupia, the Hal R. Varian Collegiate Professor of Political Science, professor of political science, and research professor at the Center for Political Studies.¶¶He says…
What Does a Crooked Election Look Like?
November 2, 2018
Walter Mebane, a professor of political science and statistics at the University of Michigan and co-author of a 2017 guide to election forensics for the U.S. Agency for International Development, urges caution when attributing election anomalies to possible fraud. “The problem is that many of the patterns that look irregular…
Walter Mebane is quoted in Scientific American
October 30, 2018
SRC Researchers at BigSurv18
October 26, 2018
SRC researchers at the BigSurv18: Big Data Meets Survey Science conference, October 25-27, 2018 in Barcelona, Spain.Friday, October 2611:30-1:00, Zeina Mneimneh (presenting author), Colleen McClain, Lisa Singh, Trivellore Raghunathan, Evaluating Survey Consent to Social Media Linkage2:15-3:45, Michael Elliott (presenting author), Ali Rafei, Carol Flannagan, Calibrating Big Data for Population Inference:…
Valentino comments on the change in atmosphere surrounding election polls since 2016
October 24, 2018
Angry Americans will be more likely to vote, and Democrats are generally more angry about their hot-button issues than Republicans, according to the Reuters/Ipsos data. That is a change from two years ago, when Republicans and Democrats were equally furious, said Nicholas Valentino, a voter behavior expert at the University…
Christian Sandvig named H. Marshall McLuhan Collegiate Professor in Digital Media
September 26, 2018
Christian Sandvig was named the H. Marshall McLuhan Collegiate Professor in Digital Media by the University of Michigan Board of Regents. This is a newly-created professorship, which honors H. Marshall McLuhan, who is best known for the theorization of digital media. Congratulations, Christian!